{"id":1299,"date":"2008-11-22T08:56:44","date_gmt":"2008-11-22T07:56:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wp.mehmetcanyuece.com\/2008\/11\/22\/irakta-ve-tuerkiyede-kartlar-bir-kez-daha-karlyor-cengiz-candar\/"},"modified":"2008-11-22T08:56:44","modified_gmt":"2008-11-22T07:56:44","slug":"irakta-ve-tuerkiyede-kartlar-bir-kez-daha-karlyor-cengiz-candar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/irakta-ve-tuerkiyede-kartlar-bir-kez-daha-karlyor-cengiz-candar\/","title":{"rendered":"Irak\u2019ta (ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de) kartlar bir kez daha kar\u0131l\u0131yor… – Cengiz \u00c7andar"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n \t<\/i> Read Time:<\/span>4 Minute, 29 Second <\/div>\n\n <\/div>

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Bundan \u00fc\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce Washington\u2019da Peter Galbraith\u2019den Mesut Barzani ile orada yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmenin i\u00e7eri\u011fini dinliyordum.<\/span><\/p>\n

Amerikan siyaset sahnesinin Irakl\u0131 K\u00fcrtlere en yak\u0131n ismi, hatta onlar\u0131n en hararetli yanda\u015f\u0131 olarak bilinen Galbraith, Barzani\u2019ye, kendisine Washington\u2019da e\u011fer Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fi s\u00f6ylenmi\u015fse buna kesinlikle inanmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini, Barack Obama\u2019n\u0131n Ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ilmesi halinde Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019taki askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 mutlaka sona erdirece\u011fini anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 naklediyordu.<\/p>\n

Peter Galbraith, Obama kamp\u0131nda yer almas\u0131ndan gayr\u0131, Irak Anayasas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yap\u0131m\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle Anayasa\u2019n\u0131n K\u00fcrtler lehine h\u00fck\u00fcmlerinin olu\u015fmas\u0131nda \u2018perde arkas\u0131\u2019ndan belirleyici rol oynam\u0131\u015f bir \u015fahsiyet. Oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rol\u00fc ve bunun ne oldu\u011funu \u2018The End of Iraq\u2019 (Irak\u2019\u0131n Sonu) adl\u0131 kitab\u0131nda ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bi\u00e7imde zaten kendisi kaleme ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Washington\u2019daki sohbetimiz s\u0131ras\u0131nda, Bush, Cheney ve Rice gibi Amerikal\u0131 yetkililerin, i\u00e7lerinde Ba\u011fdat\u2019ta \u2018Irak Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131\u2019 s\u0131fat\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan Barham Salih gibi \u2018merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019 yetkililerinin de bulundu\u011fu Irak K\u00fcrt heyeti ile esas olarak SOFA \u00fczerinde tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da anlatt\u0131. SOFA yani Status of Forces Agreement. T\u00fcrk\u00e7esi ile Kuvvetlerin Durumu Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f harfleri.<\/p>\n

SOFA\u2019n\u0131n 31 Aral\u0131k 2008\u2019e dek ABD ile Irak aras\u0131nda imzalanmas\u0131 gerekiyordu. Zira, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin Amerika\u2019ya Irak\u2019taki askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile ilgili y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler tan\u0131yan 31 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta sona erecekti. Sona erene dek ABD ile Irak aras\u0131nda, \u00fclkedeki Amerikan askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir anla\u015fma imzalanmamas\u0131 durumunda, tek ihtimal, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin yeni bir karar ile Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u2018i\u015fgalci stat\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fc devam ettirmesi olacakt\u0131 ki, bu, Obama\u2019n\u0131n Amerikan Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmak gibi bir anlam i\u00e7erecekti.<\/p>\n

Obama, Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilmeyi kafas\u0131na koymu\u015fken, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi, Amerika\u2019ya \u2018i\u015fgale devam\u2019 diye bir \u2018hukuki stat\u00fc\u2019 nas\u0131l kazand\u0131rabilirdi ki?<\/p>\n

Peter Galbraith\u2019e sormu\u015ftum, \u201cGer\u00e7ekten e\u011fer SOFA imzalanamazsa, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi karar\u0131 da al\u0131namazsa ne olacak o zaman?\u201d O da g\u00fclerek, alayc\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u201c\u00d6yle bir durum, bizim askerlere istedi\u011finiz zaman, istedi\u011finiz yere ate\u015f etmekte, adam \u00f6ld\u00fcrmekte serbestsiniz demektir\u201d kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vermi\u015fti. Yani, olabilir, hi\u00e7 kimsenin istedi\u011fi bir durum de\u011fildi.<\/p>\n

Ve, hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda SOFA imzaland\u0131.<\/p>\n

***<\/p>\n

Irak Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Nuri el-Maliki\u2019nin s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Ali Dabbagh, 28 h\u00fck\u00fcmet \u00fcyesinin biri hari\u00e7, t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn kabul etti\u011fi SOFA\u2019ya ili\u015fkin olarak \u201cBunun Irak taraf\u0131 ve ayr\u0131ca Amerikan taraf\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan m\u00fckemmel bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 her vakit s\u00f6yledik. Ancak, bu (SOFA) \u015fartlar\u0131n ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n getirdi\u011fi bir \u015feydir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Irak Parlamentosu \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta muhtemelen SOFA\u2019y\u0131 kabul edecek ve ard\u0131ndan Irak Anayasas\u0131 gere\u011fi Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Celal Talabani ve yard\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Adil Abd\u00fclmehdi (\u015ei\u00ee) ile Tar\u0131k el-Ha\u015fimi\u2019den olu\u015fan Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Kurulu\u2019nun imzas\u0131yla Anla\u015fma, 1 Ocak 2009\u2019dan itibaren y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek.<\/p>\n

SOFA\u2019n\u0131n 30 maddesi var. En can al\u0131c\u0131 noktalardan biri, 3.maddesinin 2.f\u0131kras\u0131nda Amerikan muharip kuvvetlerinin en ge\u00e7 30 Haziran 2009\u2019da \u015fehirler, k\u00f6yler ve t\u00fcm yerle\u015fim yerlerinden \u00e7ekilmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesi. Anla\u015fman\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fck s\u00fcresi \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, SOFA\u2019ya g\u00f6re, Irak topraklar\u0131nda 2011 sonu itibar\u0131yla tek bir Amerikan askeri kalmayacak.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fman\u0131n resmi ad\u0131 \u201cABD Kuvvetleri\u2019nin Irak\u2019tan \u00c7ekilmesi ve Irak\u2019taki Ge\u00e7ici Varl\u0131klar\u0131 S\u00fcresindeki Faaliyetlerinin D\u00fczenlenmesi \u00dczerine Anla\u015fma.\u201d \u0130lk madde, bunu zaten a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

2009\u2019un ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda \u015fehirler, k\u00f6yler ve t\u00fcm yerle\u015fim merkezlerinden \u00e7ekilmesiyle Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019taki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaten i\u015flevsel olarak k\u0131s\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f olacak, 2011 sonunda da \u2018ge\u00e7ici varl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 sona erecek.<\/p>\n

E\u011fer, yeni Ba\u015fkan Obama, kendi il\u00e2n etti\u011fi 16 ay i\u00e7inde \u00e7ekilme takvimine sad\u0131k davran\u0131rsa, Irak\u2019ta tek bir Amerikan askerinin kalmamas\u0131 hususu, 2011 sonunu da beklemez, 2010 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131nda Amerika Irak\u2019tan t\u00fcm\u00fcyle \u00e7ekilmi\u015f olur. Anla\u015fmada bunun \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7en bir yan yok. 2011, niha\u00ee s\u00fcreyi ifade ediyor, bundan \u00f6nce olmaz diye bir kay\u0131t d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bir yoruma g\u00f6re, SOFA \u2018i\u015fgalci bir g\u00fc\u00e7 ile onun korumas\u0131 alt\u0131nda yarat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olan bir devlet aras\u0131ndaki iktidar ili\u015fkilerinde meydana gelen \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fin resmen tan\u0131nmas\u0131\u2019na i\u015faret ediyor. Kimilerince bir \u2018kukla rejim\u2019 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen Irak\u2019taki y\u00f6netimin me\u011ferse \u2018i\u015fgalci \u00fclkenin askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019 \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ek bir denetim sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in \u2018uygun an\u0131\u2019 bekleyen bir yerel iktidar oldu\u011fu b\u00f6ylece a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n

Bu yorum, \u015fu hususun da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor: \u201cDaha geni\u015f bir jeopolitik \u00e7er\u00e7evede, SOFA, Irak\u2019taki Amerikan askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fclkede uzun s\u00fcreli bir n\u00fcfuza d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclemeyece\u011fi siyasi ger\u00e7e\u011fini ortaya koyuyor. \u0130ran ile yak\u0131n siyasi ve din\u00ee ili\u015fkileri olan bir \u015eii rejimin iktidara gelmesi halinde, Amerikan askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcne dayanmak sadece bir ge\u00e7ici politika olmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r ve \u015fartlar izin verdi\u011fi anda bu askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn a\u015famal\u0131 bi\u00e7imde ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olur.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n SOFA\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131ndan pek memnun kalmas\u0131n\u0131 da, herhalde, bu yorum izah eder…<\/p>\n

***<\/p>\n

Peki, SOFA ile birlikte Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Irak yenilgisi ve Irak\u2019\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 tescil edilmi\u015ftir diyebilir miyiz?<\/p>\n

\u015eu s\u0131rada Irak\u2019ta SOFA \u00fczerine b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131yamet kopuyor. K\u0131yameti kopartanlar\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, \u201cMesele SOFA de\u011fil; Maliki. SOFA\u2019n\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131yla nas\u0131l bir rejim kurulaca\u011f\u0131\u201d diyorlar.<\/p>\n

Irak\u2019ta \u2018kartlar\u0131n yeniden kar\u0131lmaya ba\u015flanaca\u011f\u0131\u2019 kesin. SOFA ya da Amerikan i\u015fgalinin sona ermesiyle birlikte, Irak\u2019a istikrar\u0131n gelmesi aras\u0131nda otomatik bir ili\u015fki yok. \u00dclke, tam tersine, yeni ve daha da karma\u015f\u0131k bir kaosa ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya s\u00fcr\u00fcklenme riskini de bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ba\u011fdat\u2019ta merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmette \u015ei\u00eelerin ve onlar \u00fczerinden ve onlar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve basaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da varsaymak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak K\u00fcrtlerine eksik ve \u00fcrkek bir tempoda da olsa- yeni a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ve yak\u0131nla\u015fma gayretlerini, Irak\u2019\u0131n bu yeni \u2018ger\u00e7ekleri\u2019nde aramakta isabet var.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Obama ve SOFA, Irak ba\u011flam\u0131nda (ya da K\u00fcrt sorunu ba\u011flam\u0131nda) ne ifade edebilir? Tart\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131z. Tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131y\u0131z…<\/p>\n

(Not: Adalet Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 14 Kas\u0131m tarihli \u201cDevlet \u2018fail\u2019 ise \u2018Derin Devlet\u2019 Gerekmez\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131m\u0131zda yer alan Hrant Dink cinayetiyle ilgili Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k Tefti\u015f Kurulu\u2019nun baz\u0131 ileti\u015fim bilgilerine ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na Adalet Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n izin vermedi\u011fi bilgisinin do\u011fru olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildiren bir a\u00e7\u0131klama g\u00f6nderdi. Bu \u2018bilgi\u2019yi dikkatinize sunuyorum. c\u00e7)<\/p>\n

Radikal \/ 22.11.08<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

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Bundan \u00fc\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce Washington\u2019da Peter Galbraith\u2019den Mesut Barzani ile orada yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmenin i\u00e7eri\u011fini dinliyordum. Amerikan siyaset sahnesinin Irakl\u0131 K\u00fcrtlere en yak\u0131n ismi, hatta onlar\u0131n en hararetli yanda\u015f\u0131 olarak bilinen Galbraith, Barzani\u2019ye, kendisine Washington\u2019da e\u011fer Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fi s\u00f6ylenmi\u015fse buna kesinlikle inanmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini, Barack Obama\u2019n\u0131n Ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ilmesi halinde Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019taki askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 mutlaka sona […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tuerkiye-basn"],"blocksy_meta":[],"brizy_media":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1299","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1299"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1299\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mcanyuce.net\/eski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}